UConn vs. Gonzaga Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total - NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
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Saturday's contest at T-Mobile Arena has the Gonzaga Bulldogs (31-5) matching up with the UConn Huskies (28-8) at 8:49 PM ET (on March 25). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 77-75 win for Gonzaga, so expect a competitive matchup.
Based on our computer prediction, Gonzaga projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup versus UConn. The over/under has been set at 153.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.
UConn vs. Gonzaga Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
- Time: 8:49 PM ET
- TV: TBS
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
- Line: UConn -2.5
- Point Total: 153.5
- Moneyline (To Win): UConn -150, Gonzaga +125
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UConn vs. Gonzaga Score Prediction
- Prediction: Gonzaga 77, UConn 75
Spread & Total Prediction for UConn vs. Gonzaga
- Pick ATS:
Gonzaga (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (153.5)
UConn has gone 21-9-0 against the spread, while Gonzaga's ATS record this season is 14-19-0. The Huskies have a 19-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bulldogs have a record of 19-14-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 165.7 points per game, 12.2 more points than this matchup's total. Over the last 10 contests, UConn has a 9-1 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Gonzaga has gone 6-4 against the spread and 10-0 overall in its last 10 matches.
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UConn Performance Insights
- The Huskies average 78.7 points per game (28th in college basketball) while allowing 64.7 per outing (38th in college basketball). They have a +505 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 14 points per game.
- UConn wins the rebound battle by 10.1 boards on average. It collects 36.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26 per outing.
- UConn knocks down 4.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.1 (30th in college basketball) compared to its opponents' 5.
- The Huskies' 101.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in college basketball, and the 83.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 16th in college basketball.
- UConn forces 12.3 turnovers per game (143rd in college basketball) while committing 12.3 (223rd in college basketball play).
Gonzaga Performance Insights
- The Bulldogs' +500 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 87 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 73.1 per outing (268th in college basketball).
- Gonzaga wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It grabs 34.3 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball) compared to its opponents' 28.2.
- Gonzaga connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (134th in college basketball) compared to its opponents' 8.2. It shoots 38.6% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.8%.
- Gonzaga has won the turnover battle by 2.2 per game, committing 10.4 (40th in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (121st in college basketball).
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