Excessive rainfall risk outlined through Friday

Jay Grymes gives the 10 p.m. forecast on Wednesday, August 10.
Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 4:19 AM CDT|Updated: Aug. 10, 2022 at 10:30 PM CDT
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BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - A Flash Flood Warning was issued of parts of East Baton Rouge Parish on Wednesday, Aug. 10.

The Weather Prediction Center has outlined an excessive rainfall risk for the area through Friday.

Jeff Morrow and the WAFB First Alert Weather team provide an update on What We're Tracking Next on August 10.
WPC - Excessive Rainfall Risk
WPC - Excessive Rainfall Risk
Jeff Morrow and the WAFB First Alert Weather team provide an update on What We're Tracking Next on August 10.

As it stands right now, the best opportunity for seeing localized flash flooding could be today. A Slight Risk (2 out of 4) has been posted for this afternoon into the night. Thursday and Friday the risk decreases to Marginal (1 out of 4). We still believe the overall threat of flash flooding will be localized and mainly of a nuisance variety (roads, ditches, streams, bayous). It is also more for low-lying, poorly drained spots within these “heaviest” hit areas. Localized bullseyes of 2-4″ will be possible today. Similar bullseyes will be possible Thursday and Friday.

HRRR Rainfall Amounts
HRRR Rainfall Amounts

Most of the rain will occur during daylight hours and the afternoon. No one particular day looks to have an all-day rain, but you may experience multiple rounds of showers and t-storms on one or more days. Rain chances will slightly decrease as we close out the week and move into the weekend. Saturday and Sunday you’ll have to dodge sct’d to numerous showers and storms. Keep outdoor plans, but make sure to have an indoor “plan B” just in case.

10 Day Forecast
10 Day Forecast(WAFB)

The weather will stay mainly dry to start next week with rain chances of 30-40%. Rain chances bump back up to 50% by the middle and end of the week. Afternoon temperatures will stay below normal with the elevated rain chances remaining in the forecast.

Possible Tropical Development
Possible Tropical Development

A tropical wave (Invest 97-L) moving west through the Eastern Atlantic is still poorly organized. Invest 97-L will eventually be moving into a less conducive environment for development by the weekend. Therefore, chances remain low that development into a depression or storm will occur.

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