Rain likely Thursday & Friday with good rain chances continuing through July 4 weekend

Jay Grymes gives the 10 p.m. weather forecast on Wednesday, June 29.
Published: Jun. 29, 2022 at 11:32 AM CDT|Updated: Jun. 29, 2022 at 5:32 PM CDT

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - The Storm Team is not anticipating any significant changes in the weather pattern for the next few days. Morning starts will be mostly dry around the area with daybreak temperatures in the low to mid 70°s for much of the WAFB region.

Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)

Daytime heating will work with Gulf moisture and regional instability to produce scattered-to-numerous showers and occasional thunderstorms for each of the next three days. Highs for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be in the upper 80°s to around 90° for metro Baton Rouge. Rain chances for all three days will run between 60% and 70%.

Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)
Jeff Morrow and WAFB weather team track decent rain chances remaining in the forecast on Wednesday, June 29.

While widespread heavy downpours are not anticipated, isolated pockets of 1″ to 3″ will be possible each day. The Storm Team then eases back on the rain chances for Sunday (50%) and Monday (40%), but localized downpours will still be possible for those days as well. Look for highs for Sunday and Monday in the low 90°s.

The extended outlook into next week calls for morning lows in the mid to upper 70°s with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90°s along with scattered mainly afternoon t-showers each day.

Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)

In the tropics, we continue to watch Invest 95L in the western Gulf. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to post 95L with a 40% chance of tropical development but it is rapidly running out of time for the upgrade, with landfall likely late Thursday along the Texas coast. Regardless of its development, 95L will still be a significant rainmaker for Texas and will be a contributor to the ‘wet” pattern right here in Louisiana for the next few days.

Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)

The NHC continues to watch Potential Tropical Cyclone #2 (PTC #2) in the southern Caribbean, with that system expected to make landfall in Central America as a tropical storm late Friday. Assuming that PTC #2 does get the upgrade to Bonnie, the NHC believes that the system will survive the trip across the isthmus/landmass and emerge in the eastern Pacific.

Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Weather on Wednesday, June 29, 2022(WAFB)

Lastly, the NHC is also watching a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic, giving it a 30% chance of development over the next five days as it slowly heads towards the Lesser Antilles.

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