Severe weather potential Tuesday morning

Jeff Morrow gives the 10 p.m. weather forecast on Sunday, April 3.
Published: Apr. 3, 2022 at 8:44 AM CDT|Updated: Apr. 3, 2022 at 5:29 PM CDT
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BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Monday will be another mainly quiet weather day. Winds will return from the south by afternoon allowing for an increase in moisture levels. Any rain though will likely hold off until a warm front passes late Monday afternoon. A 20% rain chance is in the late Monday PM forecast.

Severe weather threat
Severe weather threat(WAFB)

A complex of t-storms will develop in Texas late Monday and move into SE Louisiana and SW Mississippi Tuesday morning. A few storms embedded within this complex could be strong to severe with damaging wind being the primary concern followed by hail and isolated tornadoes. The threat Tuesday morning is by no means a guarantee as uncertainty remains as to what will develop with this disturbance and how exactly it will track. The Storm Prediction Center has a gradient of risks across the local area with higher threats for severe weather as you go north of the coastal parishes. Storms will also be capable of producing very heavy rainfall which could result in localized flash flooding. Rain amounts of 1-3″ will be on average especially along and north of the interstate corridor. Once the disturbance passes, the weather will settle down for the rest of Tuesday.

HRRR Rainfall amounts
HRRR Rainfall amounts(WAFB)

A cold front will push into the area Wednesday. There won’t be much moisture for this front to work with after Tuesday morning’s storms. We’ve got a 20% chance for rain Wednesday mainly for as the front passes through the local area. Temperatures will take a modest dip to end the week. A warming trend will begin by next weekend, but the weekend weather is shaping up to be really nice.

HRRR - Future SAT/RAD
HRRR - Future SAT/RAD(WAFB)

High pressure will move east of the area allowing for a slow return in moisture levels and warmth. Highs to start the next work week will be in the low to mid 80°s with a few slight chances for afternoon t-showers.

10 day forecast
10 day forecast(WAFB)

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