Good rain chances again today, storms could produce locally heavy rain tomorrow

Published: Feb. 2, 2022 at 4:27 AM CST
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BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - A southerly flow will continue to feed moisture in from the Gulf of Mexico today, leading to a continuation of off-and-on showers, similar to what we saw on Tuesday.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

However, today’s temperatures should be noticeably warmer, topping out in the low to mid 70s for most.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

Thursday continues to be our main focus as a cold front approaches from the west. Scattered showers and t-storms will be possible early, but rains become widespread from late morning into the afternoon with the arrival and passage of the front. Locally heavy rainfall and a few strong storms will be possible with the front, so stay weather aware on Thursday.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

The Storm Prediction Center maintains a Level 1/5 (marginal) risk of severe weather for our area tomorrow.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

Damaging winds are the primary concern, but hail and isolated tornadoes are also possible. The Weather Prediction Center also has a Level 1/4 (marginal) to Level 2/4 (slight) risk of flooding posted.

GROUND HOG DAY

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning ...no thanks to the 100s of TV camera lights and iPhone flashlights held by Bill Murray wannabes.

That means six more weeks of winter according to Phil and the dozens of retired western Pennsylvanians that tend to the world-famous woodchuck.

Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating...
Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 136th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., Wednesday, Feb. 2, 2022. Phil's handlers said that the groundhog has forecast six more weeks of winter. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger)(BARRY REEGER | AP)

Funny thing: with Spring kicking-off on March 20th, that works out to be more than 6 weeks away. NAILED IT!

But where does the linkage come between clouds on Candlemas (Groundhog Day) and the winter outlook? An old English rhyme may shed some light on it (yes, two puns in there):

“If Candlemas Day be fair and bright,

winter will have another flight.

But if it be dark with clouds and rain,

winter is gone and will not come again.”

Not to disappoint the kid in all of us, but note the total absence of a reference to mammals of any kind.

By the way ... Phil’s handlers refuse to say what he does during his summer days. We do know that they feed him and keep his quarters clean, so Phil really does have the soft life.

However, when asked about his summer life-of-leisure, those top-hatted rodent-wranglers (with Iron City cans in hand) vehemently deny that they keep a tally of just how much wood Phil chucks each day.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

Rain totals of 1.5″ to 3.0″ will be common through Friday morning but could go higher in spots.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

The other big part of the equation will be a significant drop in temperatures as the front moves through. Highs are expected to reach the low 70s during the morning, but readings may tumble into the 40s during the afternoon hours with the passage of the front. And even as the boundary slips to our south, good rain chances are expected to linger from Thursday night into Friday morning. Suffice to say some ugly weather is on the way for the latter part of the week.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

The rains should exit Friday morning, leaving us with a drier, but cooler weekend. Light freezes appear possible on both Saturday and Sunday mornings, with highs in the low to mid 50s.

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2
FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, February 2(WAFB)

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