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Next few days not as wet as initially thought

Published: Sep. 6, 2021 at 4:41 AM CDT|Updated: Sep. 6, 2021 at 6:27 AM CDT
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BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Most of the rain has already passed through the local area but we’ll keep a stray shower mention overnight.

Pinpoint Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 7
Pinpoint Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 7(WAFB)

Current high-resolution model trends show Tuesday and Wednesday may turn out dry for most. Right now, the First Alert forecast has a 40% rain chance both Tuesday and Wednesday. Enough atmospheric moisture is present to produce an occasional heavy downpour.

HRRR Future Satellite and Radar for Tuesday, Sept. 7 at 6 p.m.
HRRR Future Satellite and Radar for Tuesday, Sept. 7 at 6 p.m.(WAFB)

A cold front will push through the area on Thursday, triggering only isolated showers in the forecast. The payoff comes to end the week. Morning lows will dip into the mid 60°s Friday and Saturday and highs will remain comfortable below 90° with low humidity. The first part of the weekend will be optimal for outdoor plans.

The nice weather quickly changes back to a warm moist weather pattern by Sunday. Highs return to the 90°s but the local area will remain mainly dry.

10-Day Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 7 through Thursday, Sept. 16
10-Day Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 7 through Thursday, Sept. 16(WAFB)

Long-range models are not in agreement on the eventual track of another tropical wave moving from the Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico. Right now, the forecast reflects a blend of the models with 40-50% rain chances in the forecast for the beginning and middle of next week.

In the tropics, Invest 91-L continues to show no signs of development as it slowly moves across the central Gulf of Mexico. Larry remains a major hurricane out in the Central Atlantic away from land.

Possible tropical development to watch in the coming days
Possible tropical development to watch in the coming days(WAFB)

Another tropical wave is forecast to move into the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico by the beginning of next week. As mentioned, long-range models are not in agreement on the eventual evolution of this system. At this time, tropical development does not look likely but we will continue to monitor as we are in the peak of hurricane season.

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