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LIVE RADAR: Heavy Rains Roll Through, Flood Watch Continues

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Updated: May. 2, 2021 at 11:57 AM CDT
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BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) -Showers and storms are rolling through the Baton Rouge area this morning, producing heavy rain and lightning. We still have a slight risk for severe weather today, at a level two threat.

Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, May 2, 2021
Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, May 2, 2021(WAFB)
Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, May 2, 2021
Severe Weather Risk for Sunday, May 2, 2021(WAFB)

The main threats are flooding, damaging winds, and hail this morning. At this time, no warnings have been issued. We are expecting between one to three inches across the viewing area today, with isolated heavier amounts possible.

That’s why a Flood Watch is in effect for the area today and tonight, although the threats should come to an end later this afternoon. The forecast for today calls for rain, heavy at times, with gusty winds and lightning, highs in the upper 70s.

Flood Watch in effect through the night of Sunday, May 2, 2021
Flood Watch in effect through the night of Sunday, May 2, 2021(WAFB)
Model Rain Forecast for Baton Rouge for Sunday, May 2, 2021
Model Rain Forecast for Baton Rouge for Sunday, May 2, 2021(WAFB)

The rain chances will diminish from west to east this afternoon, and the chances go all the way down to 20% this evening.

Sunday night into Monday morning will be mainly dry, before our next low pressure system moves in Tuesday.

Pinpoint Forecast for Sunday, May 2, 2021
Pinpoint Forecast for Sunday, May 2, 2021(WAFB)

Local rivers will see big rises over the next 1-3 days due to Sunday’s early morning rains.

Rainfall estimates for south Louisiana from 7 a.m. Sunday, May 2, 20201 through 7 a.m....
Rainfall estimates for south Louisiana from 7 a.m. Sunday, May 2, 20201 through 7 a.m. Wednesday, May 5, 2021.(WAFB)

Here are the prelim estimates from the NWS Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center (LMRFC) for the Comite/Joor and the Amite/DenhamSprings ... these will both get tweaked later today.

Comite River level near Joor Road
Comite River level near Joor Road(NOAA)
Amite River level at Denham Springs
Amite River level at Denham Springs(NOAA)

Note that both forecast points get uncomfortably close to the flood stage.

But...the WPC rainfall outlook calls for an additional 1″ to 3″ or more between now and Wednesday, with the larger totals for areas along and north of the I-10/12 corridor.

If these rain projections are close to accurate, the rain in the coming days is sure to drive rivers even higher by week’s end.

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