FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Active weather continues for the next several days

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Wednesday, April 14 - 10 p.m.

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Active weather will continue for the next several days as a cold front meanders near the northern Gulf Coast and periodic upper-air disturbances trigger rounds of showers and thunderstorms along the boundary. Currently a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire WAFB viewing area through noon on Thursday, but the National Weather Service has hinted they may extended the Watch through Friday to account for possible additional heavy rain to close out the week.

Flood watches and warnings until noon on Thursday, April 15.
Flood watches and warnings until noon on Thursday, April 15. (Source: WAFB)

For the rest of today showers and t-storms will be sct’d to numerous in coverage. The severe weather threat this afternoon will be limited. Damaging wind gusts and hail remain the primary concerns within any stronger storms. Rains will be moving quicker today which should limit flooding potential on area roads and low lying, poorly drained areas.

Severe weather outlook for Wednesday, April 14.
Severe weather outlook for Wednesday, April 14. (Source: WAFB)

Heavy rainfall remains a high concern through the remainder of the week. A Level 3/4 (moderate) risk of flooding is posted from metro Baton Rouge into SW Mississippi and westward to near Lafayette. The area remains under a marginal (1 out of 4) to slight (2 out of 4) risk both Thursday and Friday.

Pinpoint forecast for Wednesday, April 14.
Pinpoint forecast for Wednesday, April 14. (Source: WAFB)
Severe weather outlook for Thursday, April 15.
Severe weather outlook for Thursday, April 15. (Source: WAFB)

A lull in the rains is expected this evening before showers and thunderstorms once again develop into Thursday morning. A limited threat for severe weather will be possible with the local area under a marginal risk (1 out of 5). Damaging wind gusts and hail will be the main concerns once again. Rains should move through quickly limiting a potential flood threat, but with rains arriving near or during the morning commute, motorists should keep a look out for nuisance flooding on area roadways. One slight bit of good news is that most of Thursday’s activity should be concentrated in the morning, with mainly dry conditions expected by lunch and through the remainder of the day.

10 day forecast as of Wednesday, April 14.
10 day forecast as of Wednesday, April 14. (Source: WAFB)

Unfortunately, additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms appear likely from Friday into Saturday, although we’re cautiously optimistic that the heavy rain threat won’t be quite as widespread.

The current outlook from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center indicates an additional 3″ to 5″ of rain can be expected locally through Sunday morning, with higher totals certainly possible.

We will finally dry out by Sunday as the front gets a push farther south into the Gulf of Mexico.

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