Baton Rouge area could see severe weather threat Wednesday

FIRST ALERT 10 P.M. FORECAST: Tuesday, March 16

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - The Baton Rouge metro area remains under a Slight (2 out of 5) to Enhanced (3 out of 5) Risk for severe weather Wednesday afternoon and evening.

The newly upgraded Enhanced Risk was issued by the Storm Prediction Center shortly after 12 p.m. Tuesday and includes areas just north of the I-12 corridor across the state line into Southwest Mississippi.

All forms of severe weather remain possible with damaging winds being the main concern, followed by large hail, and an isolated tornado. Any flash flood threat will remain hyper localized to areas that encounter continuous periods of heavy rain.

This graphic shows the rainfall estimates through Wednesday night that the NWS Weather Prediction Center is forecasting.
This graphic shows the rainfall estimates through Wednesday night that the NWS Weather Prediction Center is forecasting. (Source: WAFB)
The First Alert Weather team offers tips on how to prepare when severe weather threatens the area.
The First Alert Weather team offers tips on how to prepare when severe weather threatens the area. (Source: WAFB)

Forecast models are targeting near sunset (7 p.m.) for a line of strong to severe t-storms to push through metro Baton Rouge. This line of storms will be out ahead of an approaching cold front. Before the line moves through, we need to keep an eye on the potential for individualized t-storms (supercells) to pulse up and become tornadic.

This helps to explain how much more serious a tornado warning is than a tornado watch.
This helps to explain how much more serious a tornado warning is than a tornado watch. (Source: WAFB)
This helps viewers understand what it means when a tornado watch is issued for an area.
This helps viewers understand what it means when a tornado watch is issued for an area. (Source: WAFB)

This threat for supercells is likely to stay to our northeast into Central Mississippi and Central Alabama, but we can’t totally rule out the potential for some of these supercells to form right here in Southeast Louisiana and move towards Mississippi and Alabama.

This graphic shows the tornado threats associated with the different risks of severe weather.
This graphic shows the tornado threats associated with the different risks of severe weather. (Source: WAFB)
This graphic shows what level of risk covers each part of the map and the type of severe weather that could impact those under slight and enhanced risks.
This graphic shows what level of risk covers each part of the map and the type of severe weather that could impact those under slight and enhanced risks. (Source: WAFB)

Once the cold front moves through the area the threat for severe weather will end, and the local area will begin to dry out and cool down.

WAFB’s Steve Caparotta will be live on YouTube & Facebook Wednesday morning at 9:30 a.m. to answer YOUR questions.

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