FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Dry weekend; next rain maker arrives Wednesday

FIRST ALERT QUICKCAST AM WEATHER: Saturday, Nov. 21

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - It won’t feel like late November this weekend. Afternoon highs will be almost 10 degrees warmer than normal on Saturday and Sunday. Thankfully, no records will be in jeopardy. 

The weekend stays dry even with a weak cold front expected to move through the area late Sunday into early Monday morning. This cold front will bring temperatures down a couple of degrees briefly Monday night into Tuesday morning

10 day forecast as of Saturday, Nov. 21
10 day forecast as of Saturday, Nov. 21 (Source: WAFB)

Winds will quickly spin back around to the south by Tuesday afternoon. Majority of Tuesday should be dry, but we can’t totally rule out a stray evening shower or two. The main action for the Thanksgiving week arrives just prior to Turkey Day.

A cold front will push into the Southeast U.S. on Wednesday. Long range models continue to show a timing split of about 6-12 hours, but bottom-line is that Wednesday is looking wet. The good news is that rainfall amounts will remain manageable with most picking up between 0.25-0.75″. 

(Source: WAFB)

Severe weather doesn’t look to be a major issue as instability will be lacking. Therefore, we won’t rule out one or two strong storms, but at this time a severe weather outbreak appears very unlikely. The front will push through Wednesday leading to a dry and slightly cooler Thanksgiving Thursday.

Once again it will be a quick turnaround of winds by Friday as yet another cold front approaches. This cold front will have Canadian origins and will pack more of a temperature punch. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely Saturday into Sunday morning. Temperatures will be chilly to start the following week.

Possible tropical development Sat. Nov. 21
Possible tropical development Sat. Nov. 21 (Source: WAFB)

A non-tropical low pressure system is still possible to form in the Western Atlantic during the first part of next week. For now, subtropical development chances remain very low as this projected system will have a very small window of time for developing.

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