FIRST ALERT FORECAST: A few afternoon storms return; tracking 4 systems in the tropics

FIRST ALERT 12 P.M. FORECAST: Tuesday, Sept. 8

BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Our drier, good-feeling air is on the way out and will get quickly replaced by our typical late-summer muggies for the remainder of the week. As Gulf moisture makes a comeback, we can also expect the return of a few afternoon storms.

WAFB Storm Team Pinpoint Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 8.
WAFB Storm Team Pinpoint Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 8. (Source: WAFB)

Today’s Forecast

Isolated showers and t-storms will be possible by this afternoon as Gulf moisture begins its inland march. It will still be hot, with highs in the low-mid 90s and heat index values near 100°.

WAFB Storm Team 10-day forecast as of Tuesday morning, Sept. 8.
WAFB Storm Team 10-day forecast as of Tuesday morning, Sept. 8. (Source: WAFB)

Rest of This Week

We’ll see some daily fluctuations in moisture around the area, leading to slight up and down fluctuations in rain coverage. Daily rain chances will vary from 10%-30% from Wednesday through Friday, with muggier mornings in the mid 70s and afternoon highs in the low-mid 90s.

This Weekend – Next Week

High pressure loosens its grip by this weekend and we’ll see occasional disturbances moving in from the east. With that, it looks like we’ll be headed into a more unsettled pattern, with daily rain chances running 50%-60% from Saturday through much of next week. We may see some slight heat relief by the mid part of next week, with highs in the upper 80s.

Tropical Update

We continue to track 4 systems in the tropics today, but the good news is that none appear to be much of a threat to our part of the world. Paulette and Rene are both still tropical storms as of Tuesday morning and it appears most likely that both will remain over the open Atlantic.

Official NHC advisory and forecast track for Tropical Storm Paulette as of 4 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Paulette is forecast to get a little stronger while remaining over the open Atlantic over the next 5 days.
Official NHC advisory and forecast track for Tropical Storm Paulette as of 4 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Paulette is forecast to get a little stronger while remaining over the open Atlantic over the next 5 days. (Source: WAFB)

An area of disturbed weather a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda is given a 40% chance of development as of Tuesday morning. This system will likely track toward the Carolinas by late in the week.

Official NHC advisory and forecast track for Tropical Storm Rene as of 6 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Rene is forecast to become a hurricane later this week, but is also expected to remain over the open Atlantic.
Official NHC advisory and forecast track for Tropical Storm Rene as of 6 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Rene is forecast to become a hurricane later this week, but is also expected to remain over the open Atlantic. (Source: WAFB)

And finally, a strong tropical wave is expected to emerge from Africa by Thursday. This system is already given a 70% chance of development with most models on board with that potential. It looks as though we could see another wave or two emerge from Africa behind this one in the coming days with some potential for development, but given the location, we have plenty of time to monitor these features.

Tropical weather outlook from the National Hurricane Center as of 7 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Two systems are being monitored for potential development, but neither is a threat to the Gulf Coast at this point in time.
Tropical weather outlook from the National Hurricane Center as of 7 a.m. CDT Tuesday. Two systems are being monitored for potential development, but neither is a threat to the Gulf Coast at this point in time. (Source: WAFB)

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