BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - A stormy pattern is taking shape as we head into the 4th of July weekend. Today, an upper-air disturbance approaching from the north will lead to widespread shower and t-storm activity around the area. North-to-south moving storms are often a bit more active, so don’t be surprised if we see a few warnings at some point today. Locally heavy rainfall will also be a concern. Areas north of Baton Rouge will be the first to see the storms during the morning hours, with the activity spreading southward through the remainder of the afternoon. Highs may still sneak into the low 90°s near and south of the interstates before the rains arrive.
Rains should slowly diminish tonight, but there’s more on the way into the weekend. The good news is that your 4th of July may deliver a window of mainly dry weather from the morning hours into the early afternoon before showers and t-storms once again begin to develop. Saturday’s rain chances are posted at 70%, with highs expected to top out near 90°.
The Sunday forecast features good rain chances through much of the day, with a 70% to 80% chance of showers and t-storms and highs only reaching the upper 80°s due to the expected clouds and rainfall.
Our active weather pattern will continue into early next week as an upper-level trough remains parked over the northern Gulf Coast. Rain chances will continue to run 70%-80% on Monday and Tuesday, with highs on both days in the upper 80°s. And the threat for some locally heavy rainfall will continue.
Model forecasts suggest that 1" to 2" of rain is a good bet through the weekend, with another 1" to 2" possible early next week. With that in mind, I think average rain totals of 2" to 4" are a good bet through next Wednesday, with locally higher amounts possible.
We should finally trend drier by the second half of next week as high pressure builds in from the east. Of course, less rainfall means more heat, with highs expected to return to the low-mid 90°s.
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