BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - We’ve enjoyed a pair of autumn beauties for Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday with plenty of sunshine and mild-to-warm afternoons.
The warmth continues into Saturday, with some neighborhoods expected to reach 80° or more for the afternoon. But clouds and gusty winds will be an issue through much of the day.
While most WAFB neighborhoods will remain dry through the daylight hours, winds out of the south and southwest will run as much as 10 to 20 mph with even higher gusts.
Rain chances for the region from the early morning into the evening are set at under 20%, and even if you do catch a daytime shower it won’t amount to much.
That said, the number one question that most people are asking is, “Will it stay dry for the LSU game?”
The Storm Team does not envision a rain issue for afternoon tailgating, although make sure that the tents and tarps are ready for the winds. The game should start off dry as well.
However, there is a low-end chance for rain and even some lightning late in the game. Most of the Storm Team’s high-resolution models are holding the rains and storms off until well after 9:00 PM.
Only the high-resolution version of the European model shows a significant weather-related threat during the 6:00-9:00 p.m. window.
An overnight cold front will deliver showers in a few thunderstorms to the WAFB region, so it is not a question of “if” it will rain but “when.”
The Storm Team is leaning towards a “midnight-and-later” arrival of the main weather action for metro Baton Rouge.
Northern and northwestern portions of the WAFB area are included under a “Marginal Risk“ for severe weather through early Sunday morning.
The primary threat will be high winds associated with isolated strong-to-severe t-storms ahead of and accompanying the cold front.
The front should be moving through the Baton Rouge metro area near sunrise with clearing skies through the morning and into the afternoon.
Highs on Sunday will be much cooler, topping out in the mid to upper 60°s for many WAFB neighborhoods.
Get ready for a “chill” on Monday with Baton Rouge metro area Marriott highs only getting into the mid 50°s.
And much of the WAFB region will be dealing a potential frost or light freeze on Tuesday morning as temperatures drop into the low 30°s for areas along and north of the I-10/12 interstate corridor.
But sunshine will rule for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday,
Temperatures will moderate Wednesday into Thursday ahead of the next cold front which will bring another round of rain late Thursday night into Friday.