"Very Active" Hurricane Season Expected in Atlantic

THE FORECASTER

  • William Gray, researcher, Colorado State University

THE FORECAST

  • Largely unchanged from April prediction
  • 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 5 of them intense
  • 74% chance of major hurricane hitting U.S.
  • 50% chance of major hurricane hitting East Coast, including Florida peninsula
  • 49% chance of major hurricane between Florida Panhandle and Brownsville, Texas

THE HISTORY

  • Average season: 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes, 2.3 intense
  • Last year: 10 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 2 major
  • 2005: 28 named storms, 15 hurricanes
  • Atlantic hurricane season: June through November

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