Our forecast for the rest of the work week remains essentially unchanged with morning starts in the 50s and afternoon highs in the 70s for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. All three days will stay dry and they will show that modest warming trend that we discussed Monday, with highs getting to the upper 70s by Friday. Expect fair to partly cloudy skies for all three days.
We are still expecting a cold front to arrive this weekend, and the timing remains a bit unsettled, likely between late in the afternoon Saturday into the pre-dawn hours on Sunday. While the timing still needs to be tweaked, the impact of the weekend front remains essentially unchanged from what we were thinking Monday too. Rain chances across the area will be only about 40 percent or so, with many WAFB neighborhoods receiving no measurable rainfall. And for those that do get some rain, totals will be well under 0.2” the way things look right now. As for the threat of severe storms? That is near zero.
Plan on partly cloudy skies to begin Saturday with the clouds increasing throughout the day and the rains arriving during the latter part of the day. Some of those light showers could extend into early Sunday morning, but we think skies will be clearing by Sunday afternoon. After a high on Saturday in the upper 70s, you will certainly notice a change as our First Alert Forecast calls for highs on Sunday only in the low to mid 60s.
Maybe the biggest question with this weekend’s front is “Just how cool will it get after the front passes through?"
For the time being, we are anticipating a morning start on Monday around 40° to the lower 40s for metro Baton Rouge. Locations north and east of the Capital City will see temperatures dipped into the upper 30s.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to track Invest 96L in the east-central Atlantic. As we noted Monday, it's unusual for a named storm to form in that part of the Atlantic Basin this late in the hurricane season. On Monday, the NHC posted 96L with a 50 percent chance of development, but as of noon Tuesday, they have dropped that down to 40 percent. Expect another reduction in development potential later this evening. It doesn’t look like 96L will become Sean after all.