The 5th Season: WAFB hurricane special

BATON ROUGE, LA (WAFB) - Thursday, June 1 marks the beginning of the 2017 hurricane season. It has been a remarkable run of four years without any tropical activity for southeast Louisiana.

For most of us, the number one question is, "Will Louisiana be hit by a tropical system this year?"

NOAA Tropical experts issued their pre-season forecast on May 25. Their forecast called for 11 to 17 named storms of which 5 to 9 would become hurricanes, with 2 to 4 of these intensifying into major hurricanes.

Their forecast also indicates that activity this season only has a 20 percent chance of being BELOW normal.

In reality, these pre-season forecasts provide little guidance regarding the upcoming threat of landfall for the Bayou State.  What we do know is that regardless of the pre-season forecasts in the past, historically Louisiana has a 50-50 chance of some part of the state being impacted by a tropical system in any given year.

What's more, in spite of the August flood, Louisiana has now gone four consecutive years without a strike. So how much longer can we expect our good fortune to hold? We encourage you to review your personal, family and business hurricane response plans right now.

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