BATON ROUGE, LA (WAFB) - Friday's rains were a real mess. Storms in the early afternoon prompted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for a large area east of Baton Rouge across the central Florida Parishes and delivering small hail to a number of neighborhoods.
While storm intensity decreased by the middle and late afternoon, the rains continued, making for a monster headache during the Friday evening commute, shutting down "Live After Five" and forcing a delay for the LSU-Auburn series opener at the Box.
The cold front responsible for much of this afternoon's weather will stall along the coast overnight and into Saturday morning, but then start to retreat back to the north as a warm front on Saturday.
Although the Saturday forecast is looking less ominous on Friday evening than it did during the afternoon, the inflow of moist-and-unstable Gulf air into the WAFB viewing behind the northbound front will mean a return of scattered showers and a few t-storms by Saturday afternoon and early evening.
Our forecast for Sunday is even wetter, with "scattered-to-likely" rains on the forecast board for Sunday afternoon.
Look for two-day rain totals over the weekend on the order of about 1", on average for the area, with locally higher and lower totals. We're not particularly concerned about a severe weather outbreak on either Saturday or Sunday, although we can't rule out one or two warnings over the weekend given the nature of the unstable air that will be in place.
Unfortunately, the outlook for next week doesn't get much drier. Our extended guidance is showing a series of passing disturbances through the week including two frontal passages: one around mid-week and another closer to the end of the work week.
That all adds up to a continued "unsettled" weather pattern that keeps things damp-to-wet into Friday. In fact, over the course of the next seven days we could easily see widespread rain totals of 3" to 4" with locally-higher totals based on the current extended-range guidance.
Bottom line: keep the umbrella nearby.
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